Sunday, June 17, 2007

Bleak outlook for Cameron's Tories


Cherry-picking opinion polls that suit your political party is an irritating habit, and one that I'm not about to break now.


Today's Sunday Times has a YouGov poll which places Labour just 2 points behind the Tories. The papers reports that when asked about how they rated Brown and Cameron on a range of qualities, the Conservative leader came off second best on most. Brown was easily ahead on “sticking to his principles” (49%-19%); being strong (44%-11%); and being decisive (38%-12%). He also had a small lead on honesty (23%-18%). Brown won when people were asked who they would prefer to share a foxhole with in the face of enemy gunfire.


The Sunday Times conclusion? - "the Tory lead is back where it was when David Cameron took over as leader at the end of 2005. His honeymoon appears to be over while Brown’s may be beginning."

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Cameron's problem us credibility.

Brown can at least say the sky didn't fall in over the last ten years, a claim that could be contested, but the tories don't seem keen to pick a fight on the economy, hence no talk of taxes (yet).

Cameron can't even let the process of policy formation take place -- which will cause further annoyance to his party.

He's calling for the 2007 of LAbour's pointless 2005 "big conversation". This was the last election that labour bothered to canvas -- only the fascist bnp bothered to post their literature to me this year.

My money's on a hung parliament in 2009 -- that's if there's no snap election this year -- with a lib/lab coalition led by brown. He will probably invite figures from the tories and fat cat bosses to be ministers or advisers.

More interesting though is will Labour keep office in Wales within the next few weeks...

Aeres said...

Quote: "He also had a small lead on honesty (23%-18%)"

I take all these polls with a large pinch of salt, but surely 77% of people thinking Gordon is dishonest is hardly something to shout about, regardless of what the other guy is doing...

Aeres said...

...although on reflection I guess it depends on what the question was. Was it 'do you think this person is honest?' or 'which of these is the more honest?'

Darlington Councillor said...

From a quick glance at the poll, Aeres, I understood one of the few postives for Cameron was the "I'd like to have a pint with him down the pub" factor.

Before the Tories start cracking open the Bolly, however, they might like to remember that this was the criteria which Neil Kinnock frequently bested Thatcher on.

ian holme said...

Who would bet against William Hague making a comeback when the tories lose again next time around?

...if he can afford the cut in salary that is...

He is to me the most effective and "real" of any front bench tories, and makes Cameron look very poor by comparison.